Tuesday, November 24, 2020

RFA | “双十一”天猫京东销售额创新高 畸形现象难掩实体经济疲态

 中国“双十一”购物节结束。电贸商阿里巴巴透露,天猫平台最终交易成交金额接近5000亿元人民币,同比大幅增长。 有分析说,巿民释放疫情期间抑压的消费,有助加速国内国际双循环发展,彰显内需加快复苏。但有学者认为,大型网络平台销售一枝独秀,并非健康现象,中国经济是否真正反弹仍有待观察。

“双十一”购物节是电商平台年度盛事,今年更分为两波进行。第一波提早在11月1日展开;第二波“血拼”11日凌晨零时开始。阿里巴巴旗下天猫平台成交额不断刷新,系统录得最高每秒超过58万起交易。最终商品成交额4982亿元人民币,同比增长26%。


 

直到周三晚上11点,天猫实时物流订单量突破22亿5千万,等于2010年中国全年速递量的总和,在“双11”期内成交额突破1亿元人民币的品牌超过450个。

另一间电贸商京东在“双11”购物节累计下单金额2715亿元人民币,同比增长33%。

 

图为,2020年11月11日18:06:02,电贸商京东在“双11”购物节屏幕显示销售额。(路透社图片)
图为,2020年11月11日18:06:02,电贸商京东在“双11”购物节屏幕显示销售额。(路透社图片)

中国政策科学研究会经济政策委员会副主任徐洪才表示,老百姓释放疫情期间抑压的消费,有助加速国内国际双循环发展。

经济学者秦伟平却质疑,阿里巴巴等电商公布的销售数字可能存在水分,而且即使“双十一”销售额创新高也不足以显示中国经济正迈向复苏。

双十一网络销售高潮 可能反映其它通路消费力减弱

秦伟平:“一方面是商家有动力去把销售金额做大,让利的幅度也比较大,确实有消费者在埋单。两个星期或者一个月内的所有销售,放在一天之内放大。正因为经济比较差,消费者消费能力比较弱,更精打细算,他们可能要等着双十一来消费。如果说网上销售大幅增长,而其他实体经济商店门可罗雀,会出现很多问题。”

近年电商在中国大陆商业领域掀起狂潮,相反,传统实体店的交易额不断下滑,市场份额不断缩减。秦伟平认为这并非健康现象。

秦伟平:“现在是一个畸形的状况,中国的实体经济在一路下滑,但是网络平台却一路攀升,在正常社会不太可能出现这样的情况。在一段时间内全社会总的消费金额有明显提升才能证明(经济复苏)。我们打个比方,如果社会上有一万个商业企业,淘宝也好,天猫也好,它是一万个里面唯一的赢家,然后赢家挤占了其他九千多个小企业生存的份额,但是整体蛋糕并没有多大,不能代表这个地方就富裕了。”

 

2020年11月12日,在光棍节购物节结束后的第二天,工人在湖南省衡阳市的邮政集团的仓库中对包裹进行分拣,将其交付。(AFP)
2020年11月12日,在光棍节购物节结束后的第二天,工人在湖南省衡阳市的邮政集团的仓库中对包裹进行分拣,将其交付。(AFP)

蚂蚁集团在上市前夕被中国监管当局紧急叫停,旗下的消費金融業務”花唄“被金融部委点名批评,加上当局在双十一期间宣布出招打击网络平台垄断行为,使人担心阿里巴巴等电商能否持续风光下去。

秦伟平:“中国现在处于这样一个关节口,可能不像官方所讲的那样继续改革开放,它们可能不断把手伸向企业,让企业越来越失去自主权,实际上感觉是它们在变监管为接管。未来互联网企业可能会被中国政府直接或间接控制,阿里巴巴也好,淘宝也好,腾讯也好。”

贵州大学经济学院前教授杨绍政也认为,外界不宜对“双十一”的销售表现过分解读。

杨绍政:“居民手中有没有钱,收入有没有增加,这很重要。像中国的城镇职工居民可能收入比较稳定,可是他们占总人口的比例不会很大。体制外的农民,城镇的非职工居民,这部分的人群收入不会很高。”


记者:高锋  责编:许书婷 梒青  网编:瑞哲

China Pushes Xi Jinping Thought as Part of College Education

By Hongshen Zhao

November 18, 2020 12:36 AM

https://www.voanews.com/east-asia-pacific/voa-news-china/china-pushes-xi-jinping-thought-part-college-education 

WASHINGTON - As Chinese leader Xi Jinping continues to consolidate power, the Chinese Communist Party is working to include more of his writings and opinions as a mandatory part of country’s university curriculum.   

Beginning in the fall 2020 semester, 37 key colleges and universities across the country offered a course, "An Overview of Socialist Thought with Chinese Characteristics in Xi Jinping's New Era," according to the CCP’s theoretical journal, Seeking Truth. These institutions include top universities such as Peking University and Tsinghua University.      

Smaller universities across China have since echoed the call. A local news website reported on November 10 that Yantai Vocational College in Shandong province has built three teams for adding the readings to its curriculum (teaching Xi’s theory).   

In many cases, the new content, commonly called “Xi Jinping Thought,” are being added to courses that already study his writings on “the four self-confidences” that he proposed in 2016. They outline core beliefs in Xi’s socialist theory, social system, culture and road, which refers to "socialist road with Chinese characteristics."  

For decades, China’s Communist Party emphasized collective leadership as power changed hands from one chosen Communist Party leader to the next. Xi has changed this approach since becoming China’s paramount leader in 2012, concentrating power and encouraging a personality cult around himself by inserting his political writings into Communist Party and government constitutions. The government even released a smartphone app teaching “Xi Jinping Thought” that it claims is one of the most popular in China.  

Along with the focus on more ideological education, western news organizations are reporting that internal documents from Chinese universities show there are new efforts to track public opinion on university campuses.      

In one set of documents, the Heilongjiang Institute of Architecture and Vocational Technology summarized "eight risks" for political education in universities. These eight risks include foreign non-governmental organizations stepping up contacts with students, foreign “hostile elements” promoting "street politics" activities, as well as what it called weaknesses in students’ ideology and difficulties in controlling the content of teachers’ training outside the school.     

Qin Weiping, a political analyst, told VOA that taken together, these measures show how the Communist Party lacks self-confidence, and students and teachers on these campuses are not firm believers of the Communist Party’s doctrines.   

"In a sense, if the CCP is really confident, it won’t spread the four confidences in the form of documents and movements across the country,” Qin said. “It reflects the deep insecurity, the urgent crisis of governance within the ruling party's high-level ruling group. There is also doubt within the party and in society about the party's policies and the future direction of the country."

Undergraduate students and university staff wearing face masks attend a graduation ceremony in Tsinghua University, following…
Undergraduate students and university staff wearing face masks attend a graduation ceremony in Tsinghua University, following the outbreak of the coronavirus disease, in Beijing, China, June 23, 2020.

New curriculum for liberal arts degrees      

Another new Communist Party initiative at Chinese universities is aimed at modifying the current liberal arts curriculum to spread more “Xi Jinping Thought” and to "improve students' ideological awareness and moral standards."   

On November 3, the Ministry of Education issued a Declaration on the Construction of New Liberal Arts. The declaration proposed creating a new approach for teaching philosophy and social sciences that it argues would enhance the country's cultural soft power. This includes incorporating more of Xi’s writings and ideology into the liberal arts curriculum.   

In recent years, Chinese Communist Party officials have emphasized removing “western values” from Chinese curriculum, without explicitly defining which foreign writers or ideas are objectionable.  

In China’s universities, this has led some school administrators to say that some entire departments need to be restructured.    

According to Chinese media reports, Xu Xianming, an official at the Ministry of Education, stressed that “liberal arts should be shifted to be under the leadership of the Chinese discourse system and out from under the leadership of the western discourse system. China's new liberal arts doesn’t exist if the shift is not completed.”    

Jia Huixuan, a retired liberal arts professor at Peking University, disagrees with this guidance.      

“We at Peking University have always advocated inclusiveness and science and academic freedom,” Jia said. “Trying to put restrictions on academic activities is not wise."      

Others are more critical of the proposed changes.   

"Strengthening liberal arts education may be a kind of political propaganda because the Communist Party of China's liberal arts has been used by the regime … to strengthen the loyalty of the king's (leadership’s) thought," Qin said.      

Adrianna Zhang contributed to this report.

秦伟平先生荣获美国马里兰大学环球学院UMGC杰出社区志愿者奖

UMGC官网新闻链接:https://www.umgc.edu/current-students/student-life-and-support/volunteer-of-month.cfm?sf230269145=1

UMGC官方脸书:https://www.facebook.com/umgc/photos/a.356528722600/10157465797857601/

 November 2020: Weiping Qin, current student 



Weiping Qin already had a long history of volunteerism when he transferred to UMGC from Harford Community College (HCC). At HCC, Qin served as the Student Government Association President during the 2019-2020 year and was actively involved in the school's Alternative Break program, where students provide community service during their spring, summer, or winter break. These opportunities led Qin to volunteer in New Orleans, Rome, Italy, and at the National Marine Sanctuary in Key West, Florida. Qin enjoyed being part of a team that was there to help others. In addition to his community service at HCC, Qin donated money in 2019 to create the "Weiping Qin Freedom Scholarship" at Harford Community College. 

"His Holiness the Dalai Lama told me that love and an altruistic heart can make me happy and make our world better," said Qin. "I totally agree — volunteering is one important part of my wonderful life."

Qin joined the Navy earlier this year and recently participated in the UMGC Virtual FUND Run to support military veteran students. He began his journey at UMGC this past summer, where he is pursuing a bachelor's degree in management studies. In addition to his military commitments and studies, Qin is a YouTuber and enjoys being active on Twitter.